Oregon Party Registration 1950 - May 2022

  

The NAV/other category includes about 142,000 members of the Independent Party of Oregon and about 45,000 members of other Oregon minor parties (Constitution, Libertarian, Pacific Green, Progressive, Working Families).

Thanks to John Horvick of DSM Research for the chart.

Oregon’s unaffiliated voters: more partisan than you might think

Oregon’s unaffiliated voters: more partisan than you might think

They’re the biggest voter bloc but might not much shift the outcomes of November’s elections 

Randy Stapilus of Oregon Capital Chronicle
September 5, 2022

If Oregon’s registered Democrats vote Democratic in this November’s general election, and the Republicans vote Republican, those numbers alone won’t come close to settling the deal. 

A big reason: The largest group of voters in Oregon are the NAVs – those who register as “nonaffiliated.” 

(Disclosure: I’m one of them.)

But what does that mean for the outcome of the general election in another couple of months?

If you dive into the numbers – which is where elections are won and lost – you find fewer answers than you might first think. 

The NAV move to the most-numerous ranking came just this year, but it’s not a dramatic or sweeping development. Today – that is, according to the August voter registration figures compiled by the Secretary of State’s office – nonaffiliates comprised 34.4% of all voters, compared with Democrats at 34.2% and Republicans at 24.7%; the Independent Party came in at 4.7%. (You’ll notice the Democratic and NAV numbers still are close.)